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VOLCANO
Index

The capital

The funding, phase by phase.

There are no phases without capital. For each phase of the path there is a financier whose trade is exactly that level of risk. Capital can enter at any phase, from the angel who accompanies the capture of the problem to the industrial buyer at liquidity. What changes is who they are, with what instrument they enter, with what ticket and at what price they buy the risk.

How much the startup is worth at each phase, against the cost: value and cost.

6 min read

The seven stretches of capital.

The tickets are orders of magnitude from the Spanish and European market of recent years: indicative, varying by sector and by cycle, and declared as such. The values applicable to a specific project are reviewed after qualification.

F1–F2 · The problem

Who: Volcano and its partners; visionary angels.

Instruments: Own resources; services revenue; very early equity.

Typical ticket: Angels: €10,000–50,000 per person.

Here capital buys the cheapest option of all: knowing whether the problem deserves the rest of the journey.

F3–F5 · From ideation to proof of concept

Who: Tax investors (Tax Lease); non-repayable funding and grants (CDTI and Canary instruments); FFF; angels.

Instruments: AIE / tax investment; grant; initial equity.

Typical ticket: Grants: €25,000–500,000 per project · Tax Lease: the budget of the F3–F7 window; the amount per investor is sized on their tax liability (see the simulator) · FFF: €5,000–50,000.

It is the heart of the Volcano model: tax investment funds the riskiest window, and the tax investor's return is certain because it does not depend on the project's success.

F6–F7 · From prototype to MVP

Who: Angels; convertible note; pre-seed and early seed; crowdfunding.

Instruments: Convertibles; SAFE; seed equity.

Typical ticket: Convertible note: €50,000–300,000 · Pre-seed: €100,000–500,000 · Crowdfunding: €50,000–500,000.

Private capital comes in here with the technical risk already reduced: the thesis of the whole site, in one phase.

F8–F9 · From traction to product-market fit

Who: Seed and Series A funds; revenue-based financing.

Instruments: Equity; RBF on recurring revenue.

Typical ticket: Seed: €300,000–1,500,000 · Series A: €2–8M in Spain, higher in the European hubs · RBF: €50,000–1,000,000.

The frontier of premature scaling: funding growth BEFORE product-market fit is the most documented trap in the sector.

F10–F11 · From profitable growth to profitability

Who: Series B; venture debt; banks once the cash flows support it.

Instruments: Growth equity; debt.

Typical ticket: Series B: €8–25M · Venture debt: €1–10M · Banks: according to cash flows, no useful range.

Debt becomes rational exactly when it stops being necessary to survive.

F12 · Scale

Who: Growth equity; international funds; project finance.

Instruments: Equity; dedicated structures per asset.

Typical ticket: Growth: from €20M · Project finance: according to the asset.

The model is no longer being proved: it is being multiplied.

F13 · Liquidity

Who: Industrial buyers (M&A); secondary market; listed markets.

Instruments: Sale and purchase; listing (BME Growth, stock exchange).

Typical ticket: No range: the price is made by the market.

Liquidity belongs to the investor, not to the company: it closes the path the problem opened.

Who funds what: the bands of capital

Who funds what: the bands of capital across the thirteen phases A chart of horizontal bands. On the horizontal axis, the thirteen phases of the path, from F1 to F13. Each row is a type of funder, and its band covers the phases where it typically comes in: Volcano and its partners at F1 and F2; angels from F1 to F7; grants from F3 to F5; the Tax Lease, highlighted in grey, from F3 to F7; the convertible and pre-seed at F6 and F7; seed and Series A from F7 to F9; revenue-based at F8 and F9; Series B and venture debt at F10 and F11; banks from F11 to F13; growth and project finance at F12; and M&A operations and the markets at F13. A note recalls that the bands are typical, not exclusive. THE BANDS OF CAPITAL ACROSS THE THIRTEEN PHASES F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F6 F7 F8 F9 F10 F11 F12 F13 Volcano and partners Angels Grants and non-repayable funding Tax Lease (tax investment) Convertible · pre-seed Seed · Series A Revenue-based Series B · venture debt Banks Growth · project finance M&A · markets Typical bands, not exclusive: capital can come in at any phase. Tickets and instruments, in the cards above.
The bands say where each funder typically comes in; the grey of the Tax Lease marks the window the Volcano model covers by design.

The valley of death, with a name and a bridge.

The most dangerous stretch of this map has a name every innovation textbook knows: the valley of death. It begins on day one. From the moment work starts without revenue, the project's accumulated cash goes down, and keeps going down as long as the R&D lasts. The deepest point comes right at the end of the R&D: the product already exists, the revenue does not yet. Most projects die there, and not because they are bad. Traditional financing withdraws exactly where the need for cash explodes, because the prototype, the pilot and the certification cost ten or a hundred times more than desk research. Research grants have the mandate to produce knowledge, and they run out when the work gets close to the market. Venture capital sets its price with evidence (traction, customers, metrics), and before the MVP that evidence does not exist. Each instrument ends before the next begins, and the gap between the two falls at the bottom of the valley.

The Volcano model does not deny the valley: it crosses it with a flexible bridge: for each phase, the right financial instrument. On average, the bridge's instruments cover at least 70 % of the cost of the R&D: the curve of a Volcano project is, at a minimum, 70 % less deep than that of a project with no system. The Tax Lease's tax investment covers TRL 1 to TRL 8, that is, phases F3–F7 of the path, and to it are added national non-repayable funding and direct European funds. The tax investor's return is certain and does not depend on the project succeeding: that is why there is cash precisely where the market does not put it. The bridge does not promise the valley will disappear: it makes the curve less deep. And the depth is everything: if the project dies, the loss is the depth reached, and it is smaller; if it succeeds, the curve comes out of the negative sooner, because the climb of traction starts from much higher up.

The valley of death, and the flexible bridge

The valley of death, and the flexible bridge A chart with two curves on the same axis. The vertical axis is the project's accumulated cash position; the horizontal, the thirteen phases of the path with their names, and below them two scales: the TRL, from phase F3 to F7, and the CRL, from F8 to F13. Both curves start from zero on the first day, fall for as long as the R&D lasts, touch their deepest point at the end of the R&D, before the first revenue, and both can climb back and cross the valley. The difference is the depth: the curve of a Volcano project falls at least seventy per cent less, because each phase has its financial instrument and the instruments cover on average at least seventy per cent of the cost (the Tax Lease from TRL 1 to 8, national funds and direct European funds). Two annotations mark the consequence: if the project dies, the loss is the depth reached, and it is smaller; and if it succeeds, the less deep curve crosses zero sooner: it comes out of the negative earlier. THE PROJECT'S ACCUMULATED CASH POSITION 0 THE FLEXIBLE BRIDGE · EACH PHASE WITH ITS INSTRUMENT Tax Lease (TRL 1–8) · national funds · direct European funds a project with no system a Volcano project the deepest point: end of the R&D, still without revenue if the project dies, the loss is the depth: here, at least 70% less and if it succeeds, it comes out of the negative sooner F1 Capture F2 Analysis F3 Ideation F4 Concept F5 PoC F6 Prototype F7 MVP F8 Traction F9 PMF F10 Profit. growth F11 Profitab. F12 Scale F13 Liquidity TRL 1 TRL 8 CRL 1 CRL 9
Both curves fall from the first day and both can cross the valley: Volcano's falls less: if the project dies less is lost, and if it succeeds it comes out of the negative sooner.

Where the Tax Lease lives on this map.

In the F3–F7 window: the riskiest of the path, covered by tax investment before private capital has to come in alone. It is the reason a Volcano startup reaches the market with the technical risk already paid for. To size your case: the tax investment simulator and the private investor simulator.

The window opens with paper. For the Tax Lease the technical memorandum is enough, and it comes with the concept formulated (TRL 2): it is the statement of the R&D activities to be carried out. The business plan is asked for by the other financiers, from public calls (CDTI, EIC) to investors. The cadence is this: the memorandum with TRL 2, the ex ante certification a few weeks later, and the ex post pieces at the close of each year.

Notice. Informational content: it does not constitute tax, legal or investment advice. Indicative figures; the rules and the market change, and the values of each case are reviewed after qualification.

We choose to go to the Moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard.
John F. Kennedy, 1962
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